fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. 0:00:00 In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. police- settlements. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Local news is disappearing across the country. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 All. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. By May 21, 2021 0 . It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . 01:00 PM. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. 2,. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. [00:00:19] In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." So, the usual. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. A message from Martine. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Saturday, February 25, 2023. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Dive in and Share your insights! They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Transcripts by Erin Wade. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Join. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun.

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts